Engxenyeni yokuqala yonyaka, imakethe ye-PVC egaywe kabusha yasekhaya yangenisa imakethe yomthengisi eyivelakancane.Isidingo besinamandla uma kuqhathaniswa, futhi isidingo se-PVC esenziwe kabusha saqhubeka sikhuphuka, esishintshile sisuka kuphrofayili ephansi yesikhathi esedlule.Engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka, ngokuba lula kokunikezwa kanye nezidingo eziyisisekelo kanye nokubuyiswa kokudla okusha, kulindeleke ukuthi i-PVC egaywe kabusha ingase ihoxiswe entshisekweni yokwenyuka kwamanani, futhi amathuba okuzinzisa imakethe encane aphakeme kakhulu. .
Uma kuqhathaniswa nezinye izinhlobo zamapulasitiki agaywe kabusha, i-PVC egaywe kabusha ibilokhu inokhiye ophansi futhi inokuguquguquka okuncane.Kodwa-ke, uma ngibheka inkambiso ye-PVC egaywe kabusha engxenyeni yokuqala ka-2021 ekupheleni kukaJuni, ngizwa sengathi i-PVC egaywe kabusha nayo inokwehla nokwenyuka, futhi inombono "ojabulisayo".Ngokusho kwedatha evela kuZhuo Chuang Information, engxenyeni yokuqala ka-2021, i-PVC egaywe kabusha ibilokhu ikhuphuka yonke indlela, futhi ukukhuphuka bekuqinile.Kusukela ekupheleni kukaJuni, izinga lokuwasha elijwayelekile likazwelonke lensimbi yepulasitiki emhlophe lalilinganiselwa ku-4900 yuan/ton, okuwukunyuka kwamayuan angama-700/ton kusukela ekuqaleni konyaka.Uma kuqhathaniswa nesikhathi esifanayo ngonyaka odlule, inyuke ngo-1,000 yuan/ton.Ukuchotshozwa okuxubile kwamapayipi amancane amhlophe cishe kungama-yuan angu-3800/ton, okuwukukhula ngo-550 yuan/ton kusukela ekuqaleni konyaka, kanye nokwenyuka kwama-yuan/ton angu-650 kusukela esikhathini esifanayo ngonyaka odlule.Mayelana nezinto ezithambile, izinhlayiya ezimhlophe ezikhanyayo eziphuzi cishe zingu-6,400 yuan/ton, ukwanda ngamayuan angu-1,200/ton kusukela ekuqaleni konyaka kanye no-1,650 yuan/ton kusukela esikhathini esifanayo ngonyaka odlule.Indwangu yekhethini elimhlophe ephukile icishe ibe ngu-6950 yuan/ton, inyuke ngo-1450 yuan/ton kusukela ekuqaleni konyaka, kanye nokwenyuka ngo-2050 yuan/ton kusukela esikhathini esifanayo ngonyaka odlule.
Uma sibheka engxenyeni yokuqala yonyaka, leli gagasi lokukhuphuka kwamanani laqala ngoMashi.Ngenxa yoMkhosi Wasentwasahlobo ongokwesiko ngoJanuwari nangoFebhuwari, ukuthandwa kwemakethe bekuyindlala futhi ukuhweba bekunomkhawulo.Kokubili u-April noMeyi baqhubekile nokukhula kwabo, futhi imakethe yagcinwa ngoJuni.Akukashintshi kakhulu.
Ukuhlaziywa kwezizathu eziyinhloko zokukhuphuka:
I-Macroeconomics kanye ne-periphery: ukuvuselelwa komnotho kanye nokukhuthazwa kwezimali
Engxenyeni yokuqala ka-2021, isimo esiwumqedazwe sehle kakhulu uma siqhathaniswa nesikhathi esifanayo ngonyaka odlule, futhi umfutho wokusimama komnotho wenze inqubekelaphambili enkulu uma kuqhathaniswa nesikhathi esidlule.Amazwe akhiphe i-liquidity.Ngokwesibonelo, i-United States yaqhubeka nokwandisa inqubomgomo yayo yezimali exegayo engxenyeni yokuqala yonyaka.NgoMashi 6, iSenethi yaseMelika yaphasisa uhlelo lokuvuselela umnotho lwama-US $ 1.9 trillion.Ngenqubomgomo yezimali exegayo eyalethwa ukuswelakala kwemali eyanele, inqwaba yempahla yenyuka iyonke, futhi izinto ezithengiswa ngobuningi emhlabeni zangenisa imakethe enkulu yezinkunzi.
Okunye: izinto ezintsha zikhuphuke zafika eminyakeni eyishumi futhi igebe lentengo phakathi kwezinto ezigaywe kabusha lakhula
Ngemuva koMkhosi Wasentwasahlobo, amakhemikhali amaningi, amapulasitiki nezinye izinto zokusetshenziswa, okuhlanganisa i-PVC, zikhuphuke ngokushesha ngemva koMkhosi Wasentwasahlobo.Kungabonakala kuMfanekiso 2 ukuthi intengo yezinto ezintsha ze-PVC engxenyeni yokuqala ka-2021 yayiphezulu kakhulu kunesikhathi esifanayo seminyaka edlule.Uma sithatha i-East China njengesibonelo, inani elimaphakathi le-SG-5 e-East China lalingu-8,560 yuan/ton kusukela ekuqaleni kukaJanuwari kuya kuJuni 29, uma kuqhathaniswa nonyaka odlule.Yayingu-2502 yuan/ton ephakeme ngesikhathi esifanayo, ngo-1919 yuan/ton ngaphezu konyaka odlule.
Okufanayo kuyiqiniso ngomehluko wentengo ngezinto ezigaywe kabusha, nazo eziyirekhodi eliphezulu.Okwezinto eziqinile eNyakatho ne-China, umehluko wentengo omaphakathi phakathi kwezinto ezintsha nezinto ezigaywe kabusha engxenyeni yokuqala ka-2021 ngu-3,455 yuan/ton, okuyi-yuan engu-1,829 ngaphezu kwenkathi efanayo ngonyaka odlule (1626 yuan/ton)./Ton, 1275 yuan/ton ngaphezu konyaka odlule (2180);ngokwezinto ezithambile zase-East China, umehluko wentengo ophakathi phakathi kwezinto ezintsha nezigaywe kabusha engxenyeni yokuqala ka-2021 uzoba ngu-2065 yuan/ton, 1329 yuan ngaphezu kwesikhathi esifanayo ngonyaka odlule (736 yuan/ton) /Ton, 805 yuan /ton ephakeme kunonyaka odlule (1260).
Intengo ephezulu yezinto ezintsha kanye nomehluko omkhulu wentengo ngezinto ezigaywe kabusha zinciphise ukwamukelwa phansi komfula kwezinto ezintsha ezinenani eliphezulu, futhi ezinye ziphendukele emithonjeni ye-PVC egaywe kabusha.
Okubalulekile: Isidingo esinamandla, ukushoda, kanye nezindleko eziphezulu kube nomthelela ngokuhlanganyela ekukhuleni kwemakethe ngoMashi, Ephreli nangoMeyi.
Umehluko omkhulu wamanani phakathi kwezinto ezintsha nezindala ubangele ukwanda kwesidingo sezinto ezigaywe kabusha;ngemva koMkhosi Wasentwasahlobo, izigaba ezahlukene zokwakha ezifundeni ezihlukahlukene zaholela ekutholakaleni okuqinile kwezimpahla.Ngemuva kokwanda kwesidingo, ukushoda kokuhlinzekwa kuye kwakhuphula ukunikezwa okuqinile.Ngaphezu kwalokho, kwezinye izindawo, njengeJiangsu, ukuhlolwa kwemvelo ngoMashi kwabangela umsebenzi ongaqalisi.Ukunikezwa okuzinzile, kwendawo kuyashoda.Ngaphezu kwalokho, intengo ephansi nephezulu yezimpahla zoboya nayo yasekela ukukhuphuka kwemakethe ye-PVC egaywe kabusha ngokwezinga elithile.
Leli gagasi lokukhuphuka liwukukhuphuka okuphelele, ukukhuphuka okuqinile, nokukhuphuka kancane kancane ikakhulukazi.Cishe yonke imininingwane ibhekane nokukhuphuka okungaphezulu kokukodwa, futhi uhlobo olufanayo lokunikezela ezifundeni ezahlukahlukene nalo lubonise ukukhuphuka ngokulandelana.
Ngamafuphi, isidingo esinamandla kanye nokunikezwa okuncane yizizathu eziyinhloko ezisekela leli gagasi lemakethe.Ngemuva kokwanda kwesidingo yisithunzi se-macroeconomics kanye nokuthatha indawo.
Imakethe yomthengisi eyivelakancane, ukuthutheleka kwesidingo samakhasimende esisha esezansi nomfula
Isimo sengqondo sabasebenzi kufanele sibalule kulo nyaka.Kubakhiqizi abagaya kabusha, iyimakethe yabathengisi engavamile kulesi sigaba, ikakhulukazi ngoMashi, Ephreli, noMeyi.Nakuba zizobhekana nokutholakala okuqinile, imibuzo eyengeziwe, ukuthunyelwa okunzima, kanye namanani aphezulu ezinto ezibonakalayo, ziyizimakethe ezingavamile zabathengisi.I-PVC egaywe kabusha iyaqhubeka nokuthuthuka kancane kancane ngemva kokugaya inkambiso ekhulayo futhi isalondoloza ukuzethemba.Amanye amabhizinisi akholelwa ukuthi agcina igebe lentengo elibanzi ngezinto ezintsha futhi awadingi ukukhathazeka kakhulu ngezinkinga zokufunwa.Okugxilwe kakhulu ekutheni ungawuthola kanjani umthombo ozinzile wezinto ezingavuthiwe.Idlulele engxenyeni yesibili yokunyuka.Ekupheleni kukaMeyi, abakhiqizi baqhubeka nokuthengisa izimpahla ngenkuthalo, belwela ukuphepha.
Ezansi nomfula, phela, kusenomehluko omkhulu wamanani phakathi kwezinto ezigaywe kabusha nezinto ezintsha.Ngakho-ke, ukwandisa ukuthengwa kwezinto ezigaywe kabusha kuzosiza ukunciphisa izindleko.Ngakho-ke, amakhasimende amaningi angaphansi komfula abuza ngenkuthalo mayelana ne-PVC egaywe kabusha ngoMashi nango-April.Kubakhiqizi bokuvuselela, le ngxenye iyikhasimende elisha futhi ukuphikelela kwayo kusazobonakala, ngakho intengo ephansi yale ngxenye igcinwa ezingeni eliphezulu.
Isibikezelo sengxenye yesibili yonyaka:
Imakethe eqinile engxenyeni yokuqala yonyaka isiphelile, futhi njengoba izinzuzo eziyinhloko zengxenye yokuqala yonyaka zigaywe, amanani e-PVC kulindeleke ukuthi abuyele ngokunengqondo, kodwa okuyisisekelo sisabhekene nezici ezifana nokweqisa. isisekelo, inani eliphelele eliphansi kakhulu lokusungula komphakathi, nokusekelwa kwezindleko.zikhona.Asikho indawo ephansi kakhulu emakethe.Ukuhlaziywa okuqondile kungokulandelayo:
Izici eziyinhloko ezithinta imakethe ye-PVC egaywe kabusha engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka yisimo somnotho, ukuhlinzekwa kanye nesidingo, kanye nokuthambekela kwezinto ezintsha ze-PVC.
Isimo somnotho: Emazweni ngamazwe, inqubomgomo yezimali exegayo e-United States izoqhubeka engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka, kodwa amathuba okuqhubeka nokwanda mancane.Ngokunyuka kwezingcindezi ze-inflation, emhlanganweni wakamuva we-Fed, i-Fed izokhulula ithuba lokukhulisa amanani enzalo.Izothuthukela kulokho okulindelwe ngonyaka ozayo.Ingcindezi yesikhathi eside izofakwa ezimpahleni, kodwa iqiniso lemali elixegayo engxenyeni yesibili ka-2021 lizoqhubeka.Ngasekhaya, ukusebenza kwezomnotho wezwe lami njengamanje kuya ngokuya kuqina futhi kuyathuthuka ngenkathi kugcinwa uzinzo.Lapho kubhekene nezingqinamba ezihlukahlukene ezinjengokuguquguquka kwangaphandle, ubungozi bezezimali, nokukhula komnotho okungase kubonakale engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka, ukubambelela “ebuholini obuzinzile” kuzoqhubeka kuwumgomo wezimali wokubhekana nesimo esinzima.Isixazululo elilungile.Sekukonke, i-macro-periphery ihlala isesimweni esizinzile futhi esisekela imakethe yempahla.
Ukunikezwa kanye nesidingo: uvolo wabakhiqizi be-PVC obugaywe kabusha bamanje kanye nohlu lwamabala kusezingeni eliphansi.Mayelana nesidingo, abakhiqizi abangaphansi komfula badinga nje ukuthenga, futhi ukunikezwa okuphelele kanye nesidingo kubhalansi eqinile.Kulindeleke ukuthi lesi simo sokuhlinzekwa kanye nesidingo siqhubeke nokugcinwa.Isimo sezulu ngoJulayi nango-August sishisa kakhulu.Ngokujwayelekile, abanye abakhiqizi bazokhetha ukunciphisa ukuqala komsebenzi noma ukukhiqizwa kwasebusuku;ukuhlolwa kokuvikelwa kwemvelo, kungaba sezingeni lesifundazwe noma elimaphakathi, kuzoba njalo futhi kushube ngo-2021 kunangesikhathi esifanayo ngonyaka odlule.Lesi sifunda asikamenyezelwa, ngakho-ke lokhu Kuzoba yisici esingaqinisekile esithinta ukuqala kokwakhiwa engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka.Ukwengeza, engxenyeni yesine yonyaka, ukuvimbela nokulawula ukungcoliswa komoya kuzokhawulela ngokuqinile ukukhiqizwa kwamabhizinisi afana nokungcoliswa kwemvelo okuhlakazekile esifundeni, okuzoba nomthelela othile ekukhiqizeni.
Izinto ezintsha: Inzuzo ye-PVC engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka kulindeleke ukuthi ibe buthakathaka uma iqhathaniswa nengxenye yokuqala yonyaka, kodwa isidingo sinamandla, futhi uhlangothi lokuhlinzeka nokufunwa ngeke luwohloke kakhulu.Isidingo esicindezelekile singase sibuye njengoba intengo iwa ngemuva, kuyilapho izindleko nesisekelo ziphezulu Okulindelekile kuzohlala kungashintshiwe, okuzosekela imakethe engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka.Ngakho-ke, kulindeleke ukuthi imakethe ye-PVC izobuyela ekuhlakanipheni engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka, futhi isikhungo samanani adonsela phansi singase siwe, kodwa isikhala esiphansi silinganiselwe okwesikhashana.
Ukufingqa, i-PVC egaywe kabusha isengabhekana nebhalansi eqinile phakathi kokunikezwa nokufunwa engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka;ngaphansi kokusebenza okuphezulu kwezinto ezintsha, ukusabalala okubanzi kuzophinde kusekele i-PVC egaywe kabusha ngokwezinga elithile.Ngakho-ke, kulindeleke ukuthi i-PVC egaywe kabusha ingase ibhekane nezinguquko ezinkulu engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka., Isimo semakethe esizinzile nesincane, ingozi ephansi ayinkulu.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: Jul-12-2021