Ku ruhande rw'ibicuruzwa, nk'uko amakuru ya Zhuo Chuang abitangaza, kugeza muri Gicurasi, hafi kimwe cya kabiri cy'ubushobozi bw'umusaruro bwavuguruwe muri uyu mwaka.Ariko, ukurikije ubushobozi bwo kubungabunga ubu bwatangajwe, umubare wibigo byatangaje gahunda yo kubungabunga muri kamena ni bike.Umubare rusange w'ubugenzuzi muri Kamena biteganijwe ko uzaba munsi ya Gicurasi.Icyakora, bitewe n’uko hakiri imbaraga nyinshi z’umusaruro mu bice bikuru by’umusaruro nka Mongoliya Imbere na Sinayi bitigeze bivugururwa, ni ngombwa gukomeza kwita ku iterambere ry’ibikorwa byo gufata neza ibikoresho.Ku bijyanye n’ibikorwa byo mu mahanga, ku bikoresho byo muri Amerika byavuguruwe nyuma y’umuyaga ukonje muri Werurwe, isoko muri rusange riteganya ko bizavugururwa kandi bigakorerwa imitwaro myinshi bitarenze ukwezi kwa Kamena.Birakenewe gukomeza kwitondera niba hari ibintu bitunguranye.Kubijyanye nibisabwa, PVC iriho ubu ifite ubukana bugereranije nubushobozi buke.Intangiriro yo gutangira imiyoboro ikomeza kubungabungwa hafi 80%, kandi intangiriro yumwirondoro iratandukanye, hamwe 2-7 ihinduka imwe nyamukuru.Kandi nkuko tubyumva, gusimbuza PVC na PE ntibishobora kugerwaho mugihe gito, kandi biteganijwe ko kwihanganira ibyifuzo byigihe gito birahagije.Tugomba kwitondera niba ikirere cyo mu Bushinwa bw’Amajyepfo n’Ubushinwa bw’Uburasirazuba muri Kamena kizagira ingaruka ku nyungu z’imitungo itimukanwa.Biteganijwe ko uruhande rutanga n'ibisabwa muri Kamena ruzaba rufite intege nke ugereranije no muri Gicurasi, ariko kuvuguruzanya muri rusange hagati y’ibitangwa n’ibisabwa ntabwo ari binini
Kubijyanye nibiciro, Kamena nukwezi kwanyuma kwigihembwe cya kabiri.Politiki yo gukoresha ingufu mu turere tumwe na tumwe irashobora gukaza umurego mu gihembwe.Kugeza ubu, Mongoliya y'imbere ikomeje politiki yo kugabanya ingufu zidasanzwe, kandi politiki y'akarere ka Ningxia yakunze abantu.Biteganijwe ko kariside ya calcium izakomeza igiciro cyinshi cya 4000-5000 yuan / toni muri kamena.Inkunga ya PVC yo kurangiza iracyahari.
Kubyerekeranye no kubara, ibarura rya PVC riri muburyo bwo gukomeza gusenyuka, kandi ibigo byo hasi bifite ibarura rito cyane.Ibigo bikeneye kugura gusa kubiciro biri hejuru, kandi ibarura riri munsi yurwego rwimyaka yashize.Ibarura rito hamwe no gukomeza gusenya byerekana ko shingiro rya PVC ari ryiza.Kuri ubu isoko ryita cyane kubarura PVC.Niba hari ibarura ryibarura, byitezwe ko bizagira ingaruka cyane mumitekerereze yisoko.Ibarura rusange rya PVC muri kamena rishobora kwiyongera, ariko biteganijwe ko rishobora kuba munsi yurwego rwimyaka yashize.
Muri rusange, uruhande rutanga nibisabwa rushobora kuba rufite intege nke ugereranije no muri Gicurasi, ariko kwivuguruza ntabwo ari binini, uruhande rwibiciro ruracyashyigikiwe, ibarura ni rito cyane kandi gusenya bikomeje gushyigikira igiciro cya PVC.Muri kamena, umukino hagati yo gutanga nibisabwa nigiciro, PVC irashobora guhinduka cyane.
Ingamba zo gukora:
Biteganijwe ko ihindagurika ryinshi riteganijwe muri Kamena.Hejuru, witondere 9200-9300 yuan / toni, hanyuma hepfo witondere inkunga ya 8500-8600 yuan / toni.Ishingiro ryubu rirakomeye, kandi ibigo bimwe byo hasi birashobora gutekereza kugura ibikorwa bike byo gukingira kwibiza.
Ingaruka zidashidikanywaho: ingaruka zo kurengera ibidukikije byaho hamwe na politiki yo gukoresha ingufu kubiciro bya kariside ya calcium;kugarura ibikoresho bya disiki yo hanze birakomeye kuruta ibyateganijwe ku isoko;imitungo itimukanwa iragabanuka kubera ikirere;ibiciro bya peteroli ihindagurika cyane;ibyago bya macro, nibindi
Isubiramo ryisoko
Kugeza ku ya 28 Gicurasi, amasezerano y'ingenzi ya PVC yafunzwe ku giciro cya 8,600 / toni, ihinduka -2,93% guhera ku ya 30 Mata. Igiciro cyo hejuru cyari 9345 Yuan / toni kandi igiciro cyo hasi cyari 8540 Yuan / toni.
Igishushanyo 1: Inzira yamasezerano nyamukuru ya PVC
Mu ntangiriro za Gicurasi, amasezerano nyamukuru ya PVC yahindutse hejuru, kandi hagati muri rusange imbaraga rukuruzi zagiye hejuru.Mu minsi icumi hagati na nyuma yiminsi icumi, bitewe na politiki n’imyumvire ya macro, ibicuruzwa byinshi byaguye mubisubizo.PVC yari ifite imirongo itatu yikurikiranya yikurikiranya, kandi amasezerano nyamukuru yigeze kuva kuri 9.200 yuan / toni agera kuri 8.400-8500 yu / toni.Mugihe cyo kugabanuka kumasoko yigihe kizaza muminsi yo hagati na nyuma, kubera isoko rusange ryisoko ryumwanya, ibarura ryakomeje kugabanuka kurwego rwo hasi, kandi urwego rwo guhindura rwari ruto.Kubera iyo mpamvu, amasezerano y’ibanze y’Ubushinwa yazamutse cyane agera kuri 500-600 Yuan / toni.
Icya kabiri, ibiciro bigira ingaruka
1. Kuzamura ibikoresho fatizo
Kugeza ku ya 27 Gicurasi, igiciro cya kariside ya calcium mu majyaruguru y'uburengerazuba bw'Ubushinwa cyari 4675 Yuan / toni, impinduka ya 3,89% kuva ku ya 30 Mata, igiciro cyo hejuru cyari 4800 Yuan / toni, naho igiciro cyo hasi cyari 4500 Yuan / toni;igiciro cya kariside ya calcium mu burasirazuba bw’Ubushinwa cyari 5.025 Yuan / toni, ugereranije na Mata Guhinduka kwa 3.08% ku ya 30, igiciro cyo hejuru ni 5300 Yuan / toni, igiciro cyo hasi ni 4875 Yuan / toni;igiciro cya kariside ya calcium mu Bushinwa bwo mu majyepfo ni 5175 Yuan / toni, ihinduka rya 4.55% guhera ku ya 30 Mata, igiciro cyo hejuru ni 5400 Yuan / toni, naho igiciro cyo hasi ni 4950 Yuan / Ton.
Muri Gicurasi, igiciro cya calcium karbide muri rusange cyari gihamye.Ukwezi kurangiye, hamwe no kugabanuka kwa kugura PVC, igiciro cyamanutse muminsi ibiri ikurikiranye.Igiciro mubushinwa bwuburasirazuba nu Bushinwa yepfo ni 4800-4900 yuan / toni.Kugabanuka kw'ibiciro bya kariside ya calcium byagabanije inkunga-iherezo ryikiguzi mu mpera zukwezi.Muri Gicurasi, Mongoliya y'imbere yagumanye uko igabanuka ry'amashanyarazi ridasanzwe, kandi leta ya Ningxia yari ifite impungenge.
Kugeza ku ya 27 Gicurasi, igiciro cya etilene ya CFR y'Amajyaruguru y'Uburasirazuba bwa Aziya cyari US $ 1,026 / toni, ihinduka -7.23% guhera ku ya 30 Mata. Igiciro cyo hejuru ni US $ 1,151 / toni naho igiciro cyo hasi ni US $ 1.026 / toni.Kubijyanye nigiciro cya Ethylene, igiciro cya Ethylene cyamanutse cyane muri Gicurasi.
Kugeza ku ya 28 Gicurasi, kokiya ya kabiri y’ibyuma muri Mongoliya Imbere yari 2605 yuan / toni, ihinduka rya 27.07% guhera ku ya 30 Mata. Igiciro cyo hejuru cyari 2605 yuan / toni naho igiciro cyo hasi cyari 2050 Yuan / toni.
Dufatiye kuri ubu, ubushobozi bwo gutanga umusaruro bwatangajwe muri kamena bwo kuvugurura ni buke, kandi biteganijwe ko karbide ya calcium yiyongera.Kandi ukwezi kwa gatandatu ni ukwezi kwa nyuma kwigihembwe cya kabiri, kandi biteganijwe ko politiki yo kugenzura ikoreshwa ry’ingufu ebyiri mu turere tumwe na tumwe ishobora gukaza umurego.Muri Mongoliya Imbere, haribishoboka cyane ko imiterere yubu igabanya ingufu zidasanzwe zizakomeza.Politiki yo kugenzura ibiri izagira ingaruka ku itangwa rya kariside ya calcium kandi irusheho kugira ingaruka ku giciro cya PVC, kikaba ari ikintu kitazwi muri Kamena.
2. Inzira yo hejuru iratangira
Kugeza ku ya 28 Gicurasi, ukurikije amakuru y’umuyaga, igipimo rusange cy’imikorere ya PVC hejuru yacyo cyari 70%, ihinduka ry’amanota -17.5 ku ijana guhera ku ya 30 Mata. Kuva ku ya 14 Gicurasi, igipimo cy’imikorere ya kariside ya calcium cyari 82.07%, impinduka ya -0.34 ku ijana kuva ku ya 10 Gicurasi.
Muri Gicurasi, inganda zitanga umusaruro zatangiye kubungabunga isoko, kandi biteganijwe ko igihombo rusange cyo kubungabunga muri Gicurasi kizarenga Mata.Kugabanuka kuruhande rwibicuruzwa bituma isoko rusange ryisoko rikomera.Muri Kamena, hashyizweho gahunda yo gufata neza ibikoresho bifite umusaruro wa toni miliyoni 1.45.Dukurikije imibare yavuye mu makuru ya Zhuo Chuang, kuva muri uyu mwaka, hafi kimwe cya kabiri cy’ibikorwa by’umusaruro byavuguruwe.Uturere twa Sinayi, Imbere muri Mongoliya, na Shandong dufite ubushobozi bunini bwo gutanga umusaruro.Kugeza ubu, duhereye ku makuru yatangajwe, umubare muto gusa w'amasosiyete watangaje kubungabunga.Umubare wo kubungabunga muri Kamena biteganijwe ko uzaba munsi ya Gicurasi.Gukurikirana bigomba kwitondera cyane uko ibintu byifashe.
Usibye uko ibintu byifashe mu gihugu, muri iki gihe isoko muri rusange riteganya ko igihe cyo kugarura ibikoresho byo muri Amerika kizaba mu mpera za Kamena, kandi zimwe mu ngaruka ziteganijwe ku isoko ku bicuruzwa byo hanze ndetse n'akarere k'Ubuhinde byagaragaye muri Kamena Amagambo ya Plastike ya Formosa.
Muri rusange, itangwa muri Kamena rishobora kuba ryinshi kuruta muri Gicurasi.
3. Gutangira kumanuka
Kugeza ku ya 28 Gicurasi, dukurikije amakuru y’umuyaga, igipimo cyo hasi cya PVC mu Bushinwa bw’Uburasirazuba cyari 69%, ihinduka -4% guhera ku ya 30 Mata;igipimo cy’imikorere y’Ubushinwa bwo hepfo cyari 74%, ihinduka ry’amanota 0 kuva 30 Mata;epfo yo mu majyaruguru yUbushinwa Igipimo cyibikorwa cyari 63%, ihinduka ryamanota -6 ku ijana kuva 30 Mata.
Kubyerekeranye no gutangira gutangira, nubwo inyungu yumuyoboro ufite umubare munini ugereranije ni muke, yagumishijwe kuri 80%;ukurikije imyirondoro, gutangira muri rusange ni 60-70%.Inyungu yo hasi irakennye cyane uyumwaka.Hariho gahunda yo kuyongera mubyiciro byambere, ariko nayo yaratanzwe kubera kutemerwa nabi.Nyamara, kumanuka wagaragaje imbaraga zikomeye zo kubaka uyu mwaka.
Kugeza ubu, ibigo byo hasi ntibishobora guhuza n’imihindagurikire nini ku biciro bya PVC.Ariko, ibyifuzo byo hasi birashoboka cyane.Dukurikije uko tubyumva, inzinguzingo yo gusimbuza PVC na PE muri rusange ni ndende, kandi ibyifuzo byigihe gito biteganijwe ko byemewe.Muri kamena, uturere tumwe na tumwe dushobora guhindura ibicuruzwa byamanutse bitewe nikirere, ariko amahirwe yo guhagarara ni make.
4. Ibarura
Kugeza ku ya 28 Gicurasi, dukurikije amakuru y’umuyaga, ibarura rusange rya PVC ryari toni 461.800, ihinduka -0.08% guhera ku ya 30 Mata;ibarura ryo hejuru ryari toni 27.000, ihinduka -0.18% kuva 30 Mata.
Dukurikije amakuru ya Longzhong na Zhuochuang, ibarura ryakomeje kugabanuka cyane.Byumvikane kandi ko kubera ko igiciro cya PVC kumanuka cyakomeje kuba kinini murwego rwo hambere, kandi ikibanza cyerekanye imbaraga zikomeye kuruta ejo hazaza, ibarura rusange ryamanutse riri hasi cyane, kandi mubisanzwe birakenewe gusa kugirango tubone ibicuruzwa., Bamwe kumanuka bavuze ko igiciro ari 8500-8600 yuan / toni mugihe ubushake bwo kuzuza ibicuruzwa bukomeye, kandi igiciro kinini gishingiye ahanini kubisabwa bikabije.
Ibarura ryubu ni ikimenyetso cyuko isoko ihangayikishijwe cyane.Isoko muri rusange ryizera ko gukomeza kugabanuka kubarura byerekana ko icyifuzo cyo hasi gikenewe cyemewe kandi igiciro kiracyafite urwego runaka rwinkunga.Niba hari ihindagurika ryibarura, bizagira ingaruka zikomeye kubiteganijwe ku isoko, kandi birakenewe kwitabwaho.
5. Gukwirakwiza isesengura
Iburasirazuba Ubushinwa bwerekana ibiciro-byingenzi byigihe kizaza byakwirakwijwe: 30 Mata kugeza 28 Gicurasi, impinduka zifatizo ni 80 Yuan / toni kugeza kuri 630 Yuan / toni, impinduka zifatizo zicyumweru gishize ni 0 yuan / toni kugeza 285 yuan / toni.
Ingaruka ziterwa no kugabanuka muri rusange kumasoko yigihe kizaza hagati ya Gicurasi na mpera za Gicurasi, ishingiro ryari rikomeye, byerekana ko isoko rusange ryibintu byari bikomeye kandi igabanuka ryibiciro rikaba rito.
09-01 Itandukaniro ryibiciro byamasezerano: Kuva 30 Mata kugeza 28 Gicurasi, itandukaniro ryibiciro ryavuye kuri 240 yu / toni kugeza kuri 400 yu / toni, naho itandukaniro ryibiciro riva kuri 280 yu / toni kugeza kuri 355 yuan / toni mucyumweru gishize.
Outlook
Biteganijwe ko ihindagurika ryinshi riteganijwe muri Kamena.Hejuru, witondere 9200-9300 yuan / toni, hanyuma hepfo witondere inkunga ya 8500-8600 yuan / toni.Ishingiro ryubu rirakomeye, kandi ibigo bimwe byo hasi birashobora gutekereza kugura ibikorwa bike byo gukingira kwibiza.
Igihe cyo kohereza: Nyakanga-14-2021