Kwinjira mu 2023, kubera igabanuka ry’uturere dutandukanye, isoko ya polyvinyl chloride ku isi (PVC) iracyafite ikibazo kidashidikanywaho.Igihe kinini mu 2022, ibiciro bya Aziya na Amerika byagaragaje igabanuka rikabije ry’ibiciro bikamanuka mu 2023. Kwinjira mu 2023, mu turere dutandukanye, nyuma y’Ubushinwa bwahinduye politiki yo gukumira no kurwanya icyorezo, isoko riteganya ko ryitabira ;mu rwego rwo kurwanya ifaranga, rishobora kurushaho kongera igipimo cy’inyungu no kugabanya icyifuzo cya PVC yo mu gihugu muri Amerika.Ku bijyanye n’ibikenewe ku isi, akarere ka Aziya na Amerika, iyobowe n’Ubushinwa, byaguye ibyoherezwa mu mahanga PVC.Naho Uburayi, aka karere kazakomeza guhura n’ibiciro by’ingufu nyinshi n’ikibazo cy’ifaranga, kandi birashoboka ko nta nyungu zirambye z’inganda zizabaho.
Uburayi buhura n’ubukungu bwifashe nabi
Abitabiriye isoko bateganya ko amarangamutima y’amasoko y’iburayi na PVC mu 2023 azaterwa n’uburemere bw’ubukungu bwifashe nabi ndetse n’ingaruka zabyo ku cyifuzo.Mu nganda za chlorine, inyungu yuwabikoze iterwa nuburinganire buri hagati ya alkali na PVC, kandi kimwe mubicuruzwa gishobora kwishyura igihombo cyibindi bicuruzwa.Muri 2021, ibisabwa kuri ibyo bicuruzwa byombi birakomeye cyane, muri byo PVC yiganje.Ariko rero, mu 2022, kubera ingorane z’ubukungu hamwe n’igiciro kinini cy’ingufu, mu gihe izamuka ry’ibiciro bya alkaline, umusaruro ushingiye kuri chlorine wahatiwe kugabanya umutwaro, kandi icyifuzo cya PVC cyaragabanutse.Ikibazo cy’umusaruro wa chlorine watumye itangwa rya alkali-itangwa neza, bikurura ibicuruzwa byinshi byo muri Amerika, kandi igiciro cyoherezwa muri Amerika cyigeze kuzamuka ku rwego rwo hejuru kuva 2004. Muri icyo gihe, igiciro cyibibanza bya PVC zi Burayi cyaragabanutse cyane, ariko cyakomeje kugumana igiciro cyo hejuru kwisi mu mpera za 2022.
Abitabiriye isoko barateganya ko mu gice cya mbere cy’umwaka wa 2023, amasoko y’iburayi ya alkali na PVC azarushaho kuba intege nke kuko ibyifuzo by’abaguzi bizahagarikwa n’ifaranga.Mu Gushyingo 2022, abacuruzi ba alkaline baravuze bati: “Ibiciro biri hejuru ya alkaline byangiritse kubera ibisabwa.”Icyakora, abacuruzi bamwe bavuze ko amasoko ya alkali na PVC mu 2023 azaba asanzwe.Igiciro cya feri nyinshi na alkali.
Kugabanuka kw'ibisabwa muri Amerika biteza imbere gusohoka
Amakuru aturuka ku isoko yavuze ko mu 2023, Leta zunze ubumwe z’Amerika zikora chlor -alkaline zikora ibicuruzwa bikomeza gukora cyane kandi bikagumana ibiciro bya alkaline, kandi igiciro cya PVC n’ibisabwa biteganijwe ko bizakomeza.Kuva muri Gicurasi 2022, igiciro cya PVC cyo muri Amerika cyoherezwa mu mahanga cyagabanutseho hafi 62%, naho ibicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga byoherezwa mu mahanga kuva muri Gicurasi kugeza mu Gushyingo 2022 byazamutse hafi 32%, hanyuma bitangira kugabanuka.Kuva muri Werurwe 2021, ubushobozi bwo gutekesha Abanyamerika muri Amerika bwaragabanutseho 9%, bitewe ahanini n’uruhererekane rwo guhagarika umusaruro n’isosiyete Olempike, nayo yashyigikiye gushimangira ibiciro bya alkaline.Kwinjira 2023, imbaraga za alkaline -ibiciro bikaranze nabyo bizacika intege, kandi birumvikana ko kugabanuka bishobora gutinda.
West Lake Chemical numwe mubatunganya PVC yo muri Amerika.Kubera ubushake buke bwa plastiki ziramba, isosiyete nayo yagabanije igipimo cy’imizigo y’umusaruro kandi yagura ibyoherezwa mu mahanga.N'ubwo umuvuduko w’izamuka ry’inyungu zishobora gutuma ibyifuzo by’imbere mu gihugu byiyongera, abitabiriye isoko bavuze ko kuzamuka kw’isi biterwa n’uko Ubushinwa bukenewe mu gihugu bwongeye kwiyongera.
Witondere kugarura ibyifuzo byabashinwa
Isoko rya PVC muri Aziya rishobora kongera kwiyongera mu ntangiriro za 2023, ariko amasoko avuga ko niba Ubushinwa busaba butarakira neza, gukira bizakomeza kugabanywa.Igiciro cya PVC zo muri Aziya cyaragabanutse cyane mu 2022, kandi itangwa mu Kuboza uwo mwaka ryageze ku rwego rwo hasi kuva muri Kamena 2020. Amakuru aturuka ku isoko yavuze ko urwego rw’ibiciro rwasaga naho rutera kugura ibibanza kandi bigatuma abantu bategereza ko igabanuka.
Inkomoko zagaragaje kandi ko ugereranije na 2022, ubwinshi bw’itangwa rya PVC yo muri Aziya mu 2023 bushobora gukomeza urwego rwo hasi, kandi igipimo cy’imizigo gikora kikagabanuka bitewe n’ibisohoka hejuru.Inkomoko z’ubucuruzi ziteganya ko mu ntangiriro za 2023, imizigo y’umwimerere yo muri Amerika PVC yinjira muri Aziya izagenda gahoro.Icyakora, amasoko y'Abanyamerika yavuze ko niba Ubushinwa bwongeye kwiyongera, igabanuka ry’ibyoherezwa mu mahanga rya PVC mu Bushinwa rishobora gutuma ibicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga byiyongera.
Nk’uko imibare ya gasutamo ibigaragaza, mu Bushinwa ibyoherezwa mu mahanga PVC byageze kuri toni 278.000 muri Mata 2022. Mu mpera za 2022, Ubushinwa bwa PVC bwoherezwa mu mahanga bwaragabanutse.Kubera igabanuka ry’ibiciro byoherezwa mu mahanga muri Amerika PVC, ibiciro bya PVC byo muri Aziya byagabanutse kandi ibicuruzwa byoherejwe byagabanutse, ibyo bikaba byongeye guhangana ku isi hose muri PVC yo muri Aziya.Kugeza mu Kwakira 2022, Ubushinwa bwoherezwa mu mahanga PVC bwari toni 96.600, urwego rwo hasi cyane kuva muri Kanama 2021. Bamwe mu masoko yo muri Aziya bavuze ko hamwe n’Ubushinwa bwahinduye uburyo bwo gukumira icyorezo, Ubushinwa buzongera kwiyongera mu 2023. Ku rundi ruhande, kubera umusaruro mwinshi, igipimo cyo gutwara ibintu mu ruganda rwa PVC mu Bushinwa mu mpera za 2022 cyaragabanutse kiva kuri 70% kigera kuri 56%.
Umuvuduko wibarura wongera PVC kandi uracyabura gutwara
Bitewe nisoko ryitezwe ryiza mbere yiminsi mikuru yimvura, PVC yakomeje kwiyongera, ariko nyuma yumwaka, byari bikiri ibihe bidasanzwe.Kugeza ubu icyifuzo nticyashyushye, kandi isoko ryagarutse ku ntege nke zifatika.
Intege nke
Ubu PVC itanga irahagaze.Mu mpera z'Ugushyingo umwaka ushize, politiki y’imitungo itangiye, kandi kurwanya icyorezo byari byiza.Yahaye isoko ibyifuzo byiza.Igiciro cyakomeje kwiyongera, kandi inyungu yagaruwe icyarimwe.Umubare munini wibikoresho byo kubungabunga byasubukuye buhoro buhoro akazi mubyiciro byambere kandi byongera igipimo cyo gutangira.Igipimo cya PVC kiriho ubu ni 78.5%, kikaba kiri kurwego rwo hasi mugihe kimwe ugereranije nimyaka yashize, ariko itangwa rirahagaze neza mugihe cyo kongera ubushobozi bwumusaruro hamwe nigihe kirekire-bidahagije.
Ku bijyanye n’ibisabwa, duhereye ku mwaka ushize, ubwubatsi bwo hasi bwari ku rwego rwo hasi umwaka ushize.Nyuma yo kurwanya icyorezo kimaze kunozwa, impinga y’icyorezo yarabaye, kandi icyifuzo cy’ibihe bidasanzwe mu gihe cy'itumba cyaragabanutse mbere na nyuma y’ibirori.Noneho, ukurikije ibihe, bisaba icyumweru kimwe cyangwa bibiri kugirango utangire nyuma yiminsi mikuru kugirango utangire gutera imbere, kandi ahazubakwa bisaba kuzamuka kwubushyuhe.Umwaka mushya uyu mwaka ni kare, bityo amajyaruguru akeneye igihe kirekire cyo gusubukurwa nyuma yiminsi mikuru.
Ku bijyanye n’ibarura, ibarura ry’Ubushinwa ryakomeje kuguma hejuru umwaka ushize.Nyuma y'Ukwakira, isomero ryatewe no kugabanuka kwa PVC, kugabanuka kw'ibicuruzwa, hamwe n'ibiteganijwe ku isoko ku gihe kizaza.Ufatanije nu munsi wo guhagarika imirimo yumunsi mukuru wimpeshyi, ibarura ryarundanyije cyane.Kugeza ubu, Ubushinwa bw’Uburasirazuba n’Ubushinwa bw’amajyepfo PVC ni toni 447.500.Kuva uyu mwaka, toni 190.000 zegeranijwe, kandi igitutu cyo kubara ni kinini.
Impamyabumenyi y'icyizere
Ibibujijwe mu kubaka ibibanza byo kubaka no gutwara abantu byahagaritswe.Politiki y’imitungo itimukanwa itangizwa mu mpera zumwaka ushize, kandi biteganijwe ko isoko rizagarura ibyifuzo by’imitungo itimukanwa.Ariko mubyukuri, haracyari byinshi binini gushidikanya ubu.Ibidukikije bitera inkunga ibigo bitimukanwa biraruhura, ariko niba inkunga yikigo itezimbere imitungo itimukanwa cyangwa kwihutisha kubaka.Birenzeho.Mu mpera z'umwaka ushize, turateganya ko kubaka imitungo itimukanwa bizatera imbere muri uyu mwaka.Urebye ku bwishingizi, haracyari icyuho gito hagati yimiterere nyayo n'ibiteganijwe.Byongeye kandi, icyizere nubushobozi bwo kugura abaguzi murugo nabyo birakomeye, kandi biragoye kuzamura ibicuruzwa byamazu.Mugihe kirekire rero, icyifuzo cya PVC kiracyateganijwe gukira, aho kuba cyiza cyane.
Gutegereza ibintu byahindutse
Noneho, ibyingenzi byingenzi biri muburyo bwubusa, kandi igitutu cyo kubara ni kinini.Ukurikije ibihe, ibarura ryinjira mugihe cyerekezo cyigihe naryo rigomba gutegereza ko abakora PVC bo hejuru binjira mukubungabunga amasoko, kugabanuka kwamasoko, no kunoza byimazeyo kubaka hasi.Niba ibarura ryahindutse rishobora gukoreshwa mugihe cya vuba, bizagira uruhare runini mugusubiza ibiciro bya PVC.
Igihe cyo kohereza: Gashyantare-16-2023