A halin yanzu,PVCyana da ƙarfi sosai a cikin makamashi da samfuran sinadarai, kuma an iyakance shi ta hanyar tasirin ɗanyen mai da sauran manyan kayayyaki.Bayan ɗan daidaitawa a cikin hangen kasuwa, har yanzu akwai motsi sama.Ana ba da shawarar cewa masu zuba jari su sarrafa matsayinsu kuma su saya galibi akan dips.
Bayan hutun watan Mayu, babban mahangar layi na cinikin hauhawar kasuwa da karancin wadata ya fi fitowa fili, kuma iri irin su gawayi mai zafi da rebar, wadanda manufofin tsaka tsakin carbon suka fi shafa, sun karu cikin sauri.A cikin wannan mahallin, farashin PVC kuma ya bi yanayin sama.Daga cikin su, kwangilar PVC na gaba mai lamba 2109 ya tashi zuwa sama da 9435 rmb / ton, kuma farashin nau'in calcium carbide nau'in 5 na Gabashin China ya kai sabon matsayi a cikin shekaru 20 da suka gabata, wanda ya kai kusan 9450 rmb / ton.Duk da haka, nau'in albarkatun kasa na sama sun tashi sosai a cikin kwanaki da yawa a jere, wanda ke da mummunar tasiri ga ribar da ake samu na tsakiya da na ƙasa.
A ranar 12 ga Mayu, Majalisar Jiha ta bukaci a mayar da martani mai inganci game da karuwar farashin kayayyaki cikin sauri da kuma illolinsa;a ranar 19 ga Mayu, Majalisar Dokokin Jiha ta buƙaci matakan da suka dace don kare samar da kayayyaki masu yawa da kuma hana haɓakar farashin da bai dace ba don mayar da martani ga sauye-sauyen kasuwa.Sakamakon tsammanin wannan manufar, yawancin kayayyaki sun faɗi a cikin wannan ciniki dare da rana.Babban koma baya na PVC a ranar ya kasance kusan 3.9%.Koyaya, idan aka kwatanta da kayan ginin baƙar fata da wasu samfuran makamashi, daidaitawar kewayon PVC yana da iyaka.Zai iya zama mai ƙarfi haka nan gaba?
Bukatar rashin damuwa a cikin shekara
Ta fuskar samar da kayayyaki, yawan robobi daban-daban ya karu sosai a cikin watanni hudu na farkon bana.Ɗaukar PP a matsayin misali, yawan samar da pellets na polypropylene daga Janairu zuwa Afrilu ya kasance ton 9,258,500, karuwa na 15.67% a kowace shekara;Jimlar samar da polyvinyl chloride ya kai tan miliyan 7.665, karuwar tan miliyan 1.06 idan aka kwatanta da daidai wannan lokacin a shekarar 2020, karuwar da kashi 16.09%.A cikin kashi na biyu da na uku, matsakaicin yawan kayan aikin PVC na gida na wata-wata zai kasance a kusan tan miliyan 1.9.A sa'i daya kuma, sakamakon tasirin raguwar samar da kayayyaki a kasashen ketare yayin bikin bazara, kai tsaye zuwa kasashen waje na kayayyakin amfanin gona na PVC ya karu da kusan tan 360,000 a duk shekara a watanni ukun farko na bana.Ta fuskar samar da kayayyaki a kasashen ketare, a hankali gine-ginen kasa da kasa ya karu, kuma ana sa ran zai kai matsayi mai girma a cikin shekara daga Yuli zuwa Agusta.Sabili da haka, daga wata-wata-wata-wata-wata-wata-wata-wata-wata-wata-wata-wata-wata-wata-wata-wata-wata-wata-wata-na-sa-sa-sa-sa-sa-sa-sa-sa-sa-hannu-na-sa-sa-sa-sa-sa-sa-sa-sa-sa-sa-sa-sa-hannu-na karuwa,kuma mawallafin ya kuma lura da wani gyara a kan farashin PVC a waje faifai nan gaba kadan.
Daga bangaren bukatu, kasar ta kai tsaye fitar da foda na PVC galibi Indiya da Vietnam ne, amma yawan fitarwar PVC a watan Mayu na iya raguwa sosai saboda karancin bukatar da annobar Indiya ta haifar.Kwanan nan, gibin farashin PVC Indiya da China ya ragu da sauri zuwa kusan dalar Amurka 130/ton, kuma taga fitar da kayayyaki ya kusa rufe.Daga baya, kai tsaye fitarwa na kasar Sin foda zai iya raunana.Dangane da batun fitar da kayayyaki zuwa kasashen waje, kamar yadda marubucin ya lura, a halin yanzu, kadarorin Amurka suna nuna alamun rauni, amma har yanzu yanayin tattalin arzikin yana nan, kuma ana sa ran za a iya kiyaye fitar da kayayyaki zuwa kasashen waje.Dangane da buƙatun ƙasa na cikin gida, na farko, gabaɗayan farawa na ƙasa ya faɗi wata-wata, kuma farkon samfuran taushi ya faɗi a hankali;na biyu, farkon dabe na PVC ya ƙi sosai;na uku, adadin umarni na baya-bayan nan a hannun ya ci gaba da raguwa zuwa kusan kwanaki 20, kuma matsananciyar buƙata ta kasance mai ƙarfi;na hudu, tuni aka fara rabon wutar lantarki a lardin Guangdong a wasu yankuna, wanda ke da wani tasiri wajen fara wasu masana'antun masana'antu.
Gabaɗaya, buƙatun cikin gida da na waje ya ɗan ɗan yi rauni idan aka kwatanta da watan da ya gabata, amma yawan karuwar kadarori na cikin gida da aka kammala a watan Afrilu ya kasance 17.9% a shekara.Ƙarshen buƙatun PVC yana da tabbacin, kuma buƙatar gilashin a ƙarshen ƙarshen sake zagayowar dukiya yana da wadata.Daga wannan ra'ayi, kodayake buƙatun ɗan gajeren lokaci na PVC yana raguwa, babu damuwa game da buƙata a cikin shekara.
Haɗin kamfani yana da ƙasa
A halin yanzu, ko da idan bukatar PVC ta yi rauni kadan daga watan da ya gabata, farashin PVC ya kasance mai ƙarfi.Babban dalilin ya ta'allaka ne a cikin ƙananan kaya a cikin sama, tsaka-tsaki da ƙasa.Musamman, kwanakin ƙididdiga na masana'antun PVC na sama suna kan ƙaramin matakin ƙaranci;Dangane da kididdigar tsaka-tsaki, ɗauki samfurin al'umma na Gabashin Sin da Kudancin Sin a matsayin misali.Ya zuwa ranar 14 ga watan Mayu, jimilar kayayyakin ajiyar kayayyaki na gabashin kasar Sin da kudancin kasar Sin sun kai tan 207,600, wanda ya ragu da kashi 47.68 a duk shekara.%, a matakin mafi ƙanƙanta a cikin lokaci guda a cikin shekaru 6 da suka gabata;Ana kiyaye kididdigar albarkatun ƙasa a kusan kwanaki 10, kuma ƙila ɗin ba ta da tsaka tsaki.Babban dalilai: A gefe guda, masana'antun masana'antu na ƙasa sun fi tsayayya da hauhawar farashin albarkatun ƙasa.A lokaci guda kuma, hauhawar farashin kayayyaki ya haifar da babban jari, kuma kamfanoni ba su da kwarin gwiwa don tarawa;a gefe guda, adadin kwanakin umarni na ƙasa a hannun ya ragu kuma buƙatar safa ya ragu.
Daga hangen nesa na sama, tsaka-tsaki, da na ƙasa, ƙananan ƙima, saboda sakamakon hulɗar tsakanin sassan samarwa da buƙatu, wani tunani ne mai zurfi na buƙatun buƙatun da suka gabata kuma kai tsaye yana shafar halin halin yanzu da halin farashin wasan gaba na bangarorin biyu. .Ƙananan ƙididdiga na masana'antun sama da 'yan kasuwa sun haifar da ƙididdiga masu ƙarfi yayin fuskantar ƙasa.Ko da a lokacin raguwar farashin, farashin ya fi ƙarfin gwiwa, kuma babu wani siyar da firgita da ke haifar da babban kaya.Sabili da haka, yawancin kayayyaki na baya-bayan nan sun shafi mummunan ra'ayi da kuma raguwar oscillating gaba ɗaya, amma idan aka kwatanta da sauran nau'o'in, farashin PVC ya nuna wani mataki na farfadowa saboda karfi mai tsaka tsaki.
Farashin calcium carbide ya fi girma
Kwanan nan, Ulan Chabu City, Mongolia ta ciki ta ba da "Wasika kan Amfani da Wutar Lantarki na Kasafin Kuɗi don Manyan Kamfanoni masu Amfani da Makamashi daga Mayu zuwa Yuni 2021", tare da taƙaita amfani da wutar lantarki na kamfanoni masu cin makamashi a cikin ikonta.Wannan manufar tana da tasiri mai mahimmanci akan samar da sinadarin calcium carbide.Sabili da haka, ana sa ran farashin calcium carbide na cikin gida zai kasance a matsayi mai girma, kuma tallafin farashi na kamfanonin PVC da aka yi da calcium carbide na waje zai kasance mai ƙarfi.Bugu da kari, ribar da ake samu ta hanyar sarrafa sinadarin calcium na waje a halin yanzu ya kai yuan 1,000/ton, ribar hadewar yankin arewa maso yamma ya kai yuan 3,000/ton, kuma ribar hanyar ethylene ta gabashin kasar Sin ta fi girma.Ribar da ke sama a halin yanzu tana da girma sosai kuma sha'awar fara ayyuka tana da girma, yayin da ribar masana'antu ta ƙasa ba ta da ƙarfi, amma da kyar za su iya ci gaba da aiki.Gabaɗaya, rabon riba na sarkar masana'antar PVC ba ta daidaita ba, amma babu matsananciyar rashin daidaituwa.Ribar da ba ta da kyau sosai tana haifar da koma baya ga farawa, wanda bai isa ya zama babban sabani da ke shafar yanayin farashin ba.
Outlook
A halin yanzu, kodayake akwai alamun rauni na gefe akan buƙatun buƙatun na PVC, har yanzu buƙatu mai ƙarfi yana wanzuwa a cikin matsakaici da dogon lokaci.Tare da ƙididdiga na dukan sarkar masana'antu a ƙananan matakin, farashin PVC yana da ƙarfi.Don farashin dogon lokaci, muna buƙatar kallonsa daga matakin mafi girma.Yayin da annobar duniya ke ci gaba da faruwa, duk da cewa raguwar kudin da ke haifar da damuwa na gajeren lokaci yana karuwa a hankali, Fed ya ba da mamaki "ya fadada ma'auni" don mayar da martani ga rikicin annoba.Har yanzu dai ba a kawo karshen zagayen da ake yi na kasuwar shanu ba, kuma za a dauki lokaci kafin farashin ya tashi.Don nau'ikan da ke da ingantattun tushe, har yanzu akwai yuwuwar ƙara saita sabbin ƙima a cikin lokaci na gaba.Tabbas, ya kamata masu zuba jari su mai da hankali sosai kan sauye-sauyen farashin da ke haifar da haɗarin manufofin cikin gida.
Mun yi imanin cewa PVC yana da ƙarfi a cikin makamashi da samfuran sinadarai, kuma an iyakance shi ta hanyar tasirin danyen mai da sauran kayayyaki.Bayan ɗan daidaitawa a cikin hangen kasuwa, har yanzu akwai motsi sama.Ana ba da shawarar cewa masu zuba jari su sarrafa matsayinsu kuma su saya a kan dips.
Lokacin aikawa: Mayu-28-2021